論文（設(shè)計）題目（此論文共17858字）
Title Of Thesis（Design） 對當(dāng)前中國匯率變動與物價變動的關(guān)系的探索
專　　業(yè)
Speciality 國際經(jīng)濟(jì)與貿(mào)易
摘要
匯率是兩國貨幣之間兌換的比例，物價是商品價值的貨幣表現(xiàn)，經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的一般理論認(rèn)為匯率上漲會帶來通貨緊縮，但我國當(dāng)前的現(xiàn)狀是匯率和物價同時上漲。匯率上調(diào)是國內(nèi)外雙重因素造成的。國內(nèi)，經(jīng)濟(jì)高速發(fā)展，根據(jù)平價購買力理論得出人民幣購買力被低估，因此人民幣有升值的趨勢；在國際市場中，對人民幣升值的要求主要源于中國巨大的貿(mào)易順差，為了平衡國際貿(mào)易人民幣匯率也必然要上調(diào)?；谶@兩方面原因，人民幣升值是必然的。通過對近20年GDP超過11%的幾個年限的相關(guān)價格指數(shù)的對比分析，可以看出中國現(xiàn)在尚不存在經(jīng)濟(jì)過熱的現(xiàn)象，中國物價的上漲只是由于房價的上漲和食品價格的上漲所帶動的，不具有普遍性。因此，我國現(xiàn)在匯率和物價的關(guān)系，并沒有違背經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的一般原理。借鑒日本匯率變動對經(jīng)濟(jì)影響的經(jīng)驗，我國應(yīng)當(dāng)通過控制匯率實現(xiàn)匯率與物價之間平穩(wěn)發(fā)展的目標(biāo)。
關(guān)鍵詞： 消費(fèi)者物價指數(shù) 國際收支順差 購買力平價 匯率風(fēng)險
To current Chinese exchange rate change and price change relations exploration
Abstract:
Exchange rate is the proportion that both countries exchanges between currency. The currency being commodity value shows prices. The economics sort theory thinks that exchange rate goes up may bring about deflation, but the current situation of our country is that exchange rate and prices go up at the same time. Home and abroad is the main factor that bring about the raising exchange rate. Economy develops at top speed in the homeland, purchasing power theory reaches RMB purchasing power according to fair price being underestimated, RMB trend having appreciation therefore; The request in international market, appreciating to RMB originates from gigantic active balance of Chinese mainly , needs to move up also surely for the exchange rates for the Renminbi against other currencies balancing international trade. Owing to this cause in two aspects, RMB appreciates is inevitable. Through surpasses 11% several fixed numbers of years to nearly 20 year GDP the related price indices contrast analysis, China now still did not have the economical excessively hot phenomenon, The Chinese price rise only is because the house price rise and food price rise. It does not have the universality Therefore, our country exchange rate now composes in reply the prices relation , does not go against the economics sort principle. Using Japan exchange rate for reference changing the experience affecting to economy, our country ought to realize the target developing stably between exchange rate and prices by controlling exchange rate.
Key words: Consumer Price Index Favorable balance of payments Purchasing power parity Exchange rate risk
目錄
引言 ……………………………………………………………………………………………1
一、關(guān)于匯率和物價的基本概念和原理 ………………………………………………………1
（一）匯率的基本概念 ………………………………………………………………………1
（二）物價的基本概念 ………………………………………………………………………2
（三）匯率變動與物價變動的一般關(guān)系原理 ………………………………………………3
二、當(dāng)前中國匯率變動與物價變動的關(guān)系 ……………………………………………………4
（一）中國匯率變動與物價變動的現(xiàn)狀 ……………………………………………………4
1．匯率變動的現(xiàn)狀…………………………………………………………………………4
2．物價變動的現(xiàn)狀…………………………………………………………………………5
3．結(jié)論………………………………………………………………………………………7
（二）中國匯率變動與物價變動的原因 ……………………………………………………9
1．中國匯率變動的原因……………………………………………………………………9
2．中國物價變動的原因……………………………………………………………………10
三、匯率變動對經(jīng)濟(jì)影響的國際借鑒 …………………………………………………………11
（一）20世紀(jì)80年代日元匯率的變動情況以及對經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響……………………………11
（二）借鑒日企經(jīng)驗，積極應(yīng)對人民幣升值 ………………………………………………13
四、利用匯率控制物價的方法及實現(xiàn)匯率與物價平穩(wěn)發(fā)展的途徑 …………………………16
（一）利用匯率控制物價的方法 ……………………………………………………………16
（二）實現(xiàn)匯率與物價平穩(wěn)發(fā)展的途徑 ……………………………………………………16
1．我國企業(yè)的應(yīng)對方法……………………………………………………………………17
2．我國人民銀行的應(yīng)對方法………………………………………………………………17
3．我國商業(yè)銀行的應(yīng)對方法………………………………………………………………17
4．我國外匯管理部門的應(yīng)對方法…………………………………………………………18
結(jié)論 ………………………………………………………………………………………………19
致謝語 ……………………………………………………………………………………………20
參考文獻(xiàn) …………………………………………………………………………………………21