畢業(yè)論文-財(cái)政分權(quán)、制度關(guān)聯(lián)與地方投資格局差異分析—基于省級(jí)面板數(shù)據(jù)的實(shí)證
摘要
基于已有文獻(xiàn)對(duì)于財(cái)政分權(quán)的分析只局限于單項(xiàng)制度的不足，本文運(yùn)用制度分析中制度關(guān)聯(lián)的相關(guān)理論，綜合分析了在以財(cái)政分權(quán)為核心的制度體系作用下地區(qū)之間物質(zhì)資本和人力資本投資格局的差異。理論分析部分在邏輯分析的基礎(chǔ)上通過兩個(gè)簡(jiǎn)單的模型說明了中央政府將政治域的委任制與組織域的財(cái)政分權(quán)相捆綁形成的制度的共時(shí)性關(guān)聯(lián)，將促使地方政府將努力方向由社會(huì)福利的增進(jìn)轉(zhuǎn)向?qū)?jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的片面追求，在此目標(biāo)的引導(dǎo)下，地方政府的資源配置都將以經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)為導(dǎo)向，而與人力資本流動(dòng)性相關(guān)的組織場(chǎng)與以上關(guān)聯(lián)制度的歷時(shí)性關(guān)聯(lián)作用，決定了地方物質(zhì)資本與人力資本投資的格局及其地區(qū)差異。實(shí)證分析表明，財(cái)政分權(quán)條件下，物質(zhì)資本對(duì)東部與中西部地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)效應(yīng)均為正，而人力資本投資的效應(yīng)僅在東部地區(qū)為正，由此形成了中西部地區(qū)對(duì)于物質(zhì)資本片面追求的格局，且中西部地區(qū)比東部地區(qū)有著更強(qiáng)的物質(zhì)資本投資偏好，這一定程度上促進(jìn)了中西部的粗放式經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和兩大區(qū)域之間內(nèi)生增長(zhǎng)能力的差距。
關(guān)鍵詞：
財(cái)政分權(quán)  物質(zhì)資本  人力資本  制度關(guān)聯(lián)

Fiscal Decentralization ,Institutional Conjunction and the Areal Difference of Capital Investment
Abstract:
        Based on the past literature’s lack in analyzing the fiscal decentralization focused on the single institution itself only, this paper tries to analyze synthetically the difference of substance capital and human capital investment between the Eastern China and Midwestern China under the influence of the institution system ,whose core is fiscal decentralization through the theory of institutional conjunction in institution analysis. After the logical analysis , the theory analysis part explains through two simple models that under the central government’s effort to bind the institution of commission in the politics field and the fiscal decentralization in the organization field which forms a kind of institutional conjunction, local government will seek to make economic growth unilaterally instead of social welfare. Further more ,such seeking means certain way of resource allocation and its area difference under the effect of the human capital’s fluidity. The demonstration result shows that the substance capital’s effects are positive in both areas for economic growth , while  human capital’s effect is positive in Eastern China and not clear in Midwestern China. Thus the Midwestern China shows more effort to seek the substance capital growth and a more intense tendency for substance capital growth than the Eastern government.This makes the way of the Midwestern China’s economic growth and the gap of growth abilities between the two areas.
Key words:
        fiscal decentralization , substance capital , human capital ,institutional conjunction

目    錄
一、引言………………………………………………………………………5
   （一）選題意義和背景……………………………………………………5
        1、現(xiàn)實(shí)意義…………………………………………………………5
        2、理論意義…………………………………………………………5
   （二）本文的思路與研究方法……………………………………………6
   （三）本文結(jié)構(gòu)安排………………………………………………………6

二、文獻(xiàn)綜述……………………………………………………………………6

三、概念界定與說明……………………………………………………………8
  （一）財(cái)政分權(quán)………………………………………………………………8
  （二）物質(zhì)資本與人力資本…………………………………………………8
       1、物質(zhì)資本……………………………………………………………8
       2、人力資本……………………………………………………………8
  （三）制度與制度關(guān)聯(lián)………………………………………………………9
       1、制度…………………………………………………………………9
       2、制度關(guān)聯(lián)……………………………………………………………9

四、理論框架…………………………………………………………………10
  （一）邏輯框架……………………………………………………………10
       1、橫向：政治域與組織域的共時(shí)性關(guān)聯(lián)…………………………10
       2、縱向：政治域、組織域與組織場(chǎng)的歷時(shí)性關(guān)聯(lián)………………10
  （二）模型分析……………………………………………………………11
       1、微觀：政治域與組織域關(guān)聯(lián)下地方政府的行為取向…………11
       2、宏觀：組織場(chǎng)關(guān)聯(lián)下資源配置的地區(qū)差異……………………13

五、實(shí)證分析…………………………………………………………………15
  （一）方法說明……………………………………………………………15
  （二）分析思路……………………………………………………………16
  （三）指標(biāo)選取……………………………………………………………16
  （四）檢驗(yàn)結(jié)果……………………………………………………………17
       1、人力資本和物質(zhì)資本對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)作用差異的檢驗(yàn)……………17
       2、物質(zhì)資本增長(zhǎng)的差異檢驗(yàn)………………………………………18
       3、人力資本增長(zhǎng)的差異檢驗(yàn)………………………………………20
  （五）結(jié)果分析……………………………………………………………21
  （六）進(jìn)一步的說明………………………………………………………22

六、結(jié)論………………………………………………………………………23