全球變暖經(jīng)濟(jì)模型.doc
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全球變暖經(jīng)濟(jì)模型,6400字9頁(yè)論文摘要本文對(duì)全球變暖的減排對(duì)策及其經(jīng)濟(jì)-環(huán)境影響進(jìn)行了理論分析。全部的分析基于一個(gè)連續(xù)時(shí)間的動(dòng)態(tài)模型。模型是在考慮代際關(guān)系的背景之下提出來的，屬于通行的代表性代理人模型一類。模型還和全球變暖問題研究上廣泛運(yùn)用的綜合評(píng)價(jià)模型（iams）在結(jié)構(gòu)和功能上保持一致，不同的是，作者做了大膽的簡(jiǎn)化和...
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全球變暖經(jīng)濟(jì)模型
6400字 9頁(yè)
論文摘要
本文對(duì)全球變暖的減排對(duì)策及其經(jīng)濟(jì)-環(huán)境影響進(jìn)行了理論分析。全部的分析基于一個(gè)連續(xù)時(shí)間的動(dòng)態(tài)模型。模型是在考慮代際關(guān)系的背景之下提出來的，屬于通行的代表性代理人模型一類。模型還和全球變暖問題研究上廣泛運(yùn)用的綜合評(píng)價(jià)模型（IAMs）在結(jié)構(gòu)和功能上保持一致，不同的是，作者做了大膽的簡(jiǎn)化和抽象，既保證模型的解析可推導(dǎo)性，又不失其對(duì)實(shí)踐的指導(dǎo)意義。同時(shí)，模型的某些方面，如引入氣溫的效用，也是過去的模型所不具備的。作者運(yùn)用動(dòng)態(tài)最優(yōu)化的數(shù)學(xué)方法，在對(duì)基本模型進(jìn)行推導(dǎo)的基礎(chǔ)上，討論了該動(dòng)態(tài)系統(tǒng)的穩(wěn)態(tài)解和最優(yōu)路徑等理論問題。本文的研究對(duì)我國(guó)制定全球變暖的對(duì)策有一定的啟發(fā)意義。
關(guān)鍵詞：全球變暖，減排，代表性代理人模型，動(dòng)態(tài)最優(yōu)化
Abstract
This paper conducts a theoretical analysis on emission-reduction decisions dealing with global warming and their effects on economy-environment system. This analysis is entirely based on a continuous-time dynamic model. Reflecting considerations of intergenerational relationship, the model is classified to the widely accepted ‘representative agent model’. The models also follow the structures and functions of frequently used Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) of global warming. Beyond this, the author boldly proceeds abstracts and simplifications to balance mathematical tractability and practical reasonability. Other features such as utility measuring of temperature also distinguish the models. Using mathematical methods of dynamic optimization, the author deduces the basic models and discusses theoretical problems such as the steady state and optimal path of the system. The results have some implications to national strategies dealing with climate change.
Key Words: Global Warming, Emissions Reductions, Representative Agent Model, Dynamic Optimization
6400字 9頁(yè)
論文摘要
本文對(duì)全球變暖的減排對(duì)策及其經(jīng)濟(jì)-環(huán)境影響進(jìn)行了理論分析。全部的分析基于一個(gè)連續(xù)時(shí)間的動(dòng)態(tài)模型。模型是在考慮代際關(guān)系的背景之下提出來的，屬于通行的代表性代理人模型一類。模型還和全球變暖問題研究上廣泛運(yùn)用的綜合評(píng)價(jià)模型（IAMs）在結(jié)構(gòu)和功能上保持一致，不同的是，作者做了大膽的簡(jiǎn)化和抽象，既保證模型的解析可推導(dǎo)性，又不失其對(duì)實(shí)踐的指導(dǎo)意義。同時(shí)，模型的某些方面，如引入氣溫的效用，也是過去的模型所不具備的。作者運(yùn)用動(dòng)態(tài)最優(yōu)化的數(shù)學(xué)方法，在對(duì)基本模型進(jìn)行推導(dǎo)的基礎(chǔ)上，討論了該動(dòng)態(tài)系統(tǒng)的穩(wěn)態(tài)解和最優(yōu)路徑等理論問題。本文的研究對(duì)我國(guó)制定全球變暖的對(duì)策有一定的啟發(fā)意義。
關(guān)鍵詞：全球變暖，減排，代表性代理人模型，動(dòng)態(tài)最優(yōu)化
Abstract
This paper conducts a theoretical analysis on emission-reduction decisions dealing with global warming and their effects on economy-environment system. This analysis is entirely based on a continuous-time dynamic model. Reflecting considerations of intergenerational relationship, the model is classified to the widely accepted ‘representative agent model’. The models also follow the structures and functions of frequently used Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) of global warming. Beyond this, the author boldly proceeds abstracts and simplifications to balance mathematical tractability and practical reasonability. Other features such as utility measuring of temperature also distinguish the models. Using mathematical methods of dynamic optimization, the author deduces the basic models and discusses theoretical problems such as the steady state and optimal path of the system. The results have some implications to national strategies dealing with climate change.
Key Words: Global Warming, Emissions Reductions, Representative Agent Model, Dynamic Optimization
