湖泊流域環(huán)境治理中的政企合謀及其演化研究

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摘要 湖泊作為一種的自然資源，具有調(diào)節(jié)河川徑流、發(fā)展灌溉、提供工業(yè)和飲用的水源、繁衍水生生物、溝通航運、改善區(qū)域生態(tài)環(huán)境以及開發(fā)礦產(chǎn)等多種生態(tài)功能。我國在追求經(jīng)濟快速發(fā)展的過程中忽略了湖泊流域生態(tài)環(huán)境的保護和可持續(xù)發(fā)展，導(dǎo)致我國湖泊流域生態(tài)環(huán)境遭到嚴重破壞。政府部門已經(jīng)意識到該問題的嚴重性，并采取了一定的措施，但效果并不是很好，總體上表現(xiàn)為“局部有所改善、整體依然惡化”的情況。本文從政企合謀的角度來分析對湖泊流域環(huán)境治理，建立中央政府與地方政府的委托代理和政企合謀模型，運用計算實驗、系統(tǒng)分析、數(shù)理分析等方法來研究該模型。揭示和解釋政企合謀和企業(yè)排污行為演化規(guī)律、為中央政府制定相關(guān)管理政策提供新的分析視角和工具。地方政府官員的晉升標準可以同時考慮當?shù)氐腉DP和環(huán)境狀況，同時政府可以加大對地方企業(yè)偷排污水的懲罰力度，這些都可以降低政企合謀的程度。
關(guān)鍵詞：湖泊流域 環(huán)境治理 政企合謀 演化 計算實驗



Abstract The lake which is a kind of natural resources, has a variety of ecological function to regulate the runoff, develop the irrigation, and provide industrial and drinking water, breed aquatic organisms, transportation, improve the regional ecological environment and develop the mineral. Our country ignores the protection of the ecological environment of Lake Basin and sustainable development in the process of the pursuit of rapid economic development, leading to the ecological environment of Lake Basin in China severely damaged. Government departments have been aware of the seriousness of the problem, and taken some measures, but the effect is not very good, the overall cash as "partial improvement, the overall deterioration of the situation is still”. This article from the perspective of the collusion between government and enterprises on environmental governance Lake Basin, establish the model about the agency of the central government and local government and the collusion between local government and enterprises, use computational experiments, system analysis, mathematical analysis to study the model. Explain the collusion between government and enterprises and the evolution of pollutant discharge of enterprise and provide a new perspective and tools for the central government to formulate the relevant management policies. Promotion criteria for local government officials may consider the same time with the local GDP and environmental conditions, while the government may increase the local businesses punishment sewage waste-water treatment, which can reduce the degree of collusion between government and enterprises.
Key words lake basin environmental governance collusion between government and enterprises evolution computational experiments

目錄
第一章 緒論 1
1.1 緒論 1
1.1.1 背景介紹 1
1.1.2 研究目的和意義 2
1.2 國內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀 3
1.2.1 國外研究現(xiàn)狀 3
1.2.2 國內(nèi)研究現(xiàn)狀 3
1.3 本文主要研究內(nèi)容 4
第二章 研究相關(guān)理論綜述 6
2.1 “委托代理”理論 6
2.2 博弈論 7
2.3 政府環(huán)境管理基本理論 7
2.4 計算實驗相關(guān)理論 8
2.4.1 計算實驗方法 8
2.4.2 Repast的簡介 9
第三章 基于信息不對稱的湖泊流域治理中政企合謀模型 10
3.1 系統(tǒng)主體的建立 11
3.1.1 中央政府主體 11
3.1.2 地方政府主體 11
3.1.3 中小企業(yè)主體 11
3.2 系統(tǒng)主體規(guī)則、行為的建立 12
3.2.1 中央政府行為建立 12
3.2.2 地方政府行為建立 13
3.2.3 中小企業(yè)行為建立 13
3.3 模型的情景假設(shè) 15
第四章 基于計算實驗的湖泊流域環(huán)境治理中的政企合謀演化及情景分析 16
4.1 組合計算實驗的結(jié)果 16
4.2 計算實驗結(jié)果分析 21
第五章 總結(jié)與展望 23
5.1 論文總結(jié) 23
5.2 論文展望 23
致 謝 25
參考文獻 26