摘 要

某市正緊抓西部大開發(fā)的歷史機(jī)遇，加快經(jīng)濟(jì)社會發(fā)展，發(fā)揮對外窗口和經(jīng)濟(jì)輻射作用，推動西南地區(qū)和長江上游地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展。盡管近年來對外貿(mào)易發(fā)展迅速，但是由于長期以來的區(qū)位劣勢以及外貿(mào)基礎(chǔ)相對薄弱，某市市進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易發(fā)展同東部沿海地區(qū)相比還呈現(xiàn)相對落后的局面。特別是在外貿(mào)進(jìn)出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)、外貿(mào)市場占有率等方面與沿海地區(qū)的廣東、江蘇、上海等省（市）有著很大的差距。
本文考察了某市市近年來進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易的發(fā)展?fàn)顩r，分析了影響外貿(mào)物流流量流向的主要因素，探討了進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的作用。對于某市外貿(mào)物流流量流向設(shè)計(jì)并實(shí)施了問卷調(diào)查。引入數(shù)理統(tǒng)計(jì)、相關(guān)分析等代數(shù)方法。并分別對年度進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易額進(jìn)行了預(yù)測。根據(jù)研究的結(jié)果，提出了優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和建設(shè)交通運(yùn)輸網(wǎng)絡(luò)的幾點(diǎn)建議。
本文共分為五章，第一章介紹本文研究的目的意義以及研究方法。第二章是某市外貿(mào)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀，其中對運(yùn)輸時(shí)間，運(yùn)輸線路和結(jié)構(gòu)進(jìn)行了詳細(xì)的分析。第三章是問卷的設(shè)計(jì)。第四章是問卷的分析，以及對未來幾年某市外貿(mào)集裝箱流量的預(yù)測。第五章是結(jié)論。


關(guān)鍵詞: 港口輻射能力，外貿(mào)商品結(jié)構(gòu)，集裝箱













ABSTRACT

Chongqing is clutching the history of the great western development opportunities; accelerate economic and social development, a window of external radiation and economic role in promoting the southwestern region and the upper reaches of the Yangtze River region's economic development. Despite the rapid development of foreign trade in recent years, but because the area has long been disadvantaged and relatively weak basis for foreign trade, import and export trade in Chongqing Municipality with the development of the eastern coastal areas also showed relatively backward compared to the situation. Especially in the import and export commodity structure, market share, and other aspects of foreign trade and coastal areas of Guangdong, Jiangsu, Shanghai and other provinces (municipalities) have a big gap.
This paper visited the Chongqing City in recent years the development of import and export trade, analysis of the impact of foreign trade logistics major factor in traffic flows on the import and export trade on the role of economic growth. Chongqing Foreign Trade logistics flow for the flow of the design and implementation of the survey. The introduction of mathematical statistics, analysis and other related algebraic methods. And the annual import and export volume respectively, were forecast. According to the results of the study, to optimize the industrial structure and building transportation network of suggestions.
This paper is divided into five chapters, the first chapter the purpose of this paper, and the significance of research methods. Chapter II Chongqing is the development of foreign trade status quo, which the transport time, transport routes and structure of a detailed analysis. Chapter III is the design of the questionnaire. Chapter IV is the analysis of questionnaires, and the next few years, Chongqing's container traffic forecasts. Chapter V is conclusions.


Key words：Radiation port capacity， foreign trade commodity structures， containers





目 錄
中文摘要 Ⅰ
ABSTRACT Ⅱ
1緒論 1
1.1研究背景與意義 1
1.2本文的研究內(nèi)容與技術(shù)路線 3
1.2.1研究內(nèi)容 3
1.2.2技術(shù)路線 3
2某市市進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀分析 4
2.1某市進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易發(fā)展的基礎(chǔ)條件 4
2.1.1地理位置 4
2.1.2社會經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展概況 5
2.2某市外貿(mào)運(yùn)輸通道現(xiàn)狀 6
2.2.1某市外貿(mào)運(yùn)輸主要通道 6
2.2.2某市外貿(mào)運(yùn)輸通道結(jié)構(gòu) 7
2.2.3某市集裝箱運(yùn)輸成本分析 7
3調(diào)查問卷的設(shè)計(jì) 12
3.1設(shè)計(jì)目的及調(diào)查方式介紹 12
3.2目標(biāo)人群 12
3.3問卷的操作性 13
3.4卷首語 13
3.5問卷的發(fā)放及反饋 14
4某市外貿(mào)集裝箱流量流向分析 16
4.1各方向出口集裝箱總量分析預(yù)測 16
4.2各方向進(jìn)口集裝箱總量分析預(yù)測 18
4.3各種產(chǎn)品出口集裝箱總量分析預(yù)測 19
4.4各種產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口集裝箱總量分析預(yù)測 20
4.5各種產(chǎn)品進(jìn)出口總量與GDP的相關(guān)分析 21
4.6流向 23
4.7優(yōu)化產(chǎn)品出口結(jié)構(gòu) 23
4.8關(guān)于運(yùn)輸通道建設(shè)的建議 24
4.8.1優(yōu)化運(yùn)輸結(jié)構(gòu)和資源配置 24
4.8.2通道為主兼顧網(wǎng)絡(luò)的原則 24

5結(jié)論 26
致謝 27
參考文獻(xiàn) 28