Risk Analysis of the International Construction Project
By: Paul Stanford Kupakuwana
Cost Engineering Vol. 51/No. 9 September 2009

ABSTRACT
This analysis used a case study methodology to analyse the issues surrounding the partial collapse of the roof of a building housing the headquarters of the Standards Association of Zimbabwe (SAZ). In particular, it examined the prior roles played by the team of construction professionals. The analysis revealed that the SAZ’s traditional construction project was generally characterized by high risk. There was a clear indication of the failure of a contractor and architects in preventing and/or mitigating potential construction problems as alleged by the plaintiff. It was reasonable to conclude that between them the defects should have been detected earlier and rectified in good time before the partial roof failure. It appeared justified for the plaintiff to have brought a negligence claim against both the contractor and the architects. The risk analysis facilitated, through its multi-dimensional approach to a critical examination of a construction problem, the identification of an effective risk management strategy for future construction projects. It further served to emphasize the point that clients are becoming more demanding, more discerning, and less willing to accept risk without recompense. Clients do not want surprise, and are more likely to engage in litigation when things go wrong.

國際建設(shè)工程風(fēng)險分析
保羅 斯坦福 庫帕庫娃娜
工程造價卷 第五十一期 2009年9月9日
摘要 此次分析用實例研究方法分析津巴布韋標(biāo)準(zhǔn)協(xié)會總部（SAZ）的屋頂部分坍塌的問題。特別是，它審查了建設(shè)專業(yè)隊伍發(fā)揮的事先作用。分析顯示，津巴布韋標(biāo)準(zhǔn)協(xié)會總部的傳統(tǒng)建筑工程普遍具有高風(fēng)險的特點。一個明顯失敗的跡象，是由原告所聲稱的承包商和建筑師們在預(yù)防和/或緩解可能發(fā)生的建設(shè)問題上是失敗的。推斷在部分屋頂坍塌之前兩者之間的缺陷應(yīng)該及早發(fā)現(xiàn)并及時糾正是合理。原告有理由對承包者和建筑師雙方帶來的疏忽索賠看來是合乎情理的。風(fēng)險分析，通過多方位方法分析建設(shè)問題的決定性查問，使有效風(fēng)險管理策略對失敗建設(shè)問題的鑒定容易。越強調(diào)服務(wù)的重點，委托方的要求越來越高，挑剔越來越多，并不太愿意接受沒有賠償?shù)娘L(fēng)險。委托方不想要驚喜，并且當(dāng)事情出現(xiàn)問題更可能去訴訟。